7439 - *whoosh*
Jun. 10th, 2005 02:55 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
scottobear
Another active hurricane season expected
Hurricane experts anticipate another active Atlantic hurricane season in 2005, following last year's historic and destructive storms. Forecasters at the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), predicted as many as five major hurricanes this year in their annual outlook, released in mid-May.
The NOAA outlook forecasts 12 to 15 tropical storms this year, with seven to nine of those becoming hurricanes. Of that group, forecasters expect three to five to become major hurricanes, which means a Category 3 storm with winds exceeding 111 m.p.h. The forecast does not predict, however, how many of those storms might make landfall.
On average, two major hurricanes hit the United States every three years. Last year, there were 15 tropical storms. Nine of them became hurricanes -- six of them major. An unprecedented four hurricanes hit Florida -- Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne. (See this year's storm names)
Historically, "above-normal" seasons average two or three landfalling hurricanes in the continental United States, according to NOAA.
"You will hear seasonal forecasts of Atlantic storms and hurricanes, but remember the ones that strike land are important, not the total number that form in the Atlantic Basin," said Dr. Steve Lyons, tropical weather expert at The Weather Channel. "[But] it only takes one in your area to change your community."
The head of the National Weather Service emphasized that it's crucial to be prepared if you live in a hurricane-prone area, even if you are some distance from the coast. "As we ... look at another highly active season, preparation plans should consider that these storms carry severe weather, such as tornadoes and flooding, while moving inland." (Get tips on preparing your home)
Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1 and ends November 30. The season typically peaks from late August through October.
Forecasters say their outlook considered the trend, since 1995, for above-average tropical activity in the Atlantic. (In the past 10 years, all but two seasons have been above-average.) In addition, forecasters say the continuation of warmer sea surface temperatures influenced their outlook. NOAA will update its Atlantic hurricane forecast in August, just before the season's typical peak.
Hmm.. Not sure what'll happen, come evacuation time. I wonder if I can pre-book a hotel.
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no subject
Date: 2005-06-10 08:53 pm (UTC)Or... 'How I learned to relax and Love the Hurricanes'
no subject
Date: 2005-06-10 08:55 pm (UTC)from firpo
Date: 2005-06-10 10:45 pm (UTC)Re: from firpo
Date: 2005-06-10 10:49 pm (UTC)Re: from firpo
Date: 2005-06-10 11:25 pm (UTC)Re: from firpo
Date: 2005-06-10 11:26 pm (UTC)Re: from firpo
Date: 2005-06-11 03:07 am (UTC)and, sadly, we are gravely lacking in a decent public transporation system- the conspiracy is well documented in "Who Framed Roger Rabbit?"
f
Re: from firpo
Date: 2005-06-11 03:15 am (UTC)Be careful with your bike! I only ride mine on backstreets, too.
no subject
Date: 2005-06-11 01:10 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2005-06-11 01:11 am (UTC):(
or a:
:|
Not a smilie as in "Haha..hurricane time!" ;)
no subject
Date: 2005-06-11 01:17 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2005-06-11 01:11 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2005-06-11 02:21 am (UTC)Top of page shows a color photo of Arlene coming very close to Tampa..Bradenton, etc.
Right underneath is a link to a tracking map, that shows Arlene much further out from Florida..then veering off & missing Florida altogether. Do you know what's up? I'm not getting much more info from news sites. I have loved ones in both Tampa and B'ton...and both are unavailable for contact right now.
no subject
Date: 2005-06-11 03:22 am (UTC)http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
is a good resource, however, and fortuantely they link there.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/030608.shtml?3day
is a 3-day probability track... it appeas that the panhandle will get windy and wet, but no hurricane issues as far as I can tell.